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August 05, 2011

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In this study is of no relevance to this piece as it concerns the effects of antidepressants when compared to placebo. And the claim is false... I present excerpts from the opinion piece in quotes, interspersed with my comments.

Dr. Kramer's piece addressed a timely and extremely important topic, the suitability of antidepressants as treatment for a broad range of mental health and other conditions. Dr. Kramer pointed out that academic and public discourse surrounding these topics has been highly charged, to the detriment of patient care. His goals were to educate the reader about the issues, and to bring a balance to the ongoing dialogue. Dr.
Kramer's efforts are to be admired, as is the Times' willingness to provide a forum for such pieces.

Unfortunately, the article contains numerous assertions meant to support Dr. Kramer's thesis that were demonstrably false. He seems to imply that he possesses knowledge he could not possibly possess, and about which he is wrong. Moreover, his writing contains unsubstantiated suggestions that scientists who have addressed these questions, including our research group, have engaged in misrepresentation when reporting on their work.

Although some of the errors Dr. Kramer makes are subtle, such that they might be recognized only by experts who conduct the relevant research and review the research of others in academic forums, other comments are blatant and could easily have been checked by him for accuracy. In my view, the presence of so many distortions and so much misleading information prevents the article from achieving its goals. Indeed, I suspect Dr. Kramer's opinion piece has exacerbated precisely the problem that it was intended to address. In the process it has, I fear, misled readers, including Mr. Sullivan, into thinking that they would do well to dismiss a host of research findings, many of which have passed the highest levels of scientific scrutiny. As a result, the public's trust in the relevant science has been dealt an unfortunate blow.

In the following I present excerpts from the opinion piece in quotes, interspersed with my comments.

Referring to a study we published in JAMA in January of 2010, Dr. Kramer characterized it this way:
"...a seemingly minor study (that was) engineered to highlight placebo responses."

The methods we used were selected so that placebo responses could be compared to the responses to the medications, all things equal. The method favored by the pharmaceutical industry (the placebo-washout
method) is used precisely to minimize the placebo effect, on the understanding that its use increases the odds that the drug under study will be shown to be superior to placebo. This is not a secret. This is not a conspiratorial way of describing the method. This is the stated aim of it. Placebo-washout studies are engineered (to use Dr. Kramer's
terminology) so as to minimize the costs of drug evaluation; fewer subjects are required to obtain a significant result, an additional effect of which is that the number patients exposed to placebo for the duration of the (typically 6-8 week) trial is minimized. It may be that Dr. Kramer does not understand the logic of the placebo-washout experiments, and therefore the limits of the conclusions that can be drawn from them. I have no doubt many if not most of his readers are confused.

He continues:
"From a large body of research, they discarded trials that used washouts, as well as those that focused on dysthymia or subtypes of depression. The team deemed only six studies, from over 2,000, suitable for review."

In our paper we laid out carefully the criteria for the inclusion of studies to be analyzed. We only deemed studies suitable for inclusion if they met these criteria. The process for this is described in the JAMA paper, and depicted in Figure 1 of the paper.

"An odd collection they were. Only studies using Paxil and imipramine "made the cut" and other research had found Paxil to be among the least effective of the new antidepressants. One of the imipramine studies used a very low dose of the drug."

These statements are unsubstantiated and, according to my colleagues who co-authored the paper, and who are experts on these topics, false.

"The largest study Dr. DeRubeis identified was his own. In 2005, he conducted a trial in which Paxil did slightly better than psychotherapy..."

The claim that Paxil did slightly better than psychotherapy in this study is of no relevance to this piece as it concerns the effects of antidepressants when compared to placebo. And the claim is false.

"...and significantly better than a placebo ... but apparently much of the drug response occurred in sicker patients... Building an overview around your own research is problematic. Generally, you use your study to build a hypothesis; you then test the theory on fresh data."

Dr. Kramer implies knowledge of how we built the overview, with no stated basis for the knowledge. His conjecture about the process that led to the analysis, if correct, would form a basis for his, and his readers', skepticism about the substance of the work. His conjecture, once again, is incorrect. We did not examine our data to see if this phenomenon held in it.

Indeed, one requires more data than can come from even a relatively large study in order to gain enough precision for the kind of analysis we published. Rather, we knew that the pharmaceutical industry studies have excluded the roughly 70% of patients who fall into the mild or moderate range of depression, because it was known but not publicized that including the mild and moderate cases made it very difficult to find an advantage of drug over placebo. We believed it was time, after more than 50 years of research on the effects of antidepressants, for someone to collect all available data on this point, and publish the findings. Our own study was simply one of the six studies that met the stated criteria.

"Critics questioned other aspects of Dr. DeRubeis's math."

This unsubstantiated statement appears to be designed to lead readers to judge that I am either incompetent or dishonest. This is irresponsible, at best.

"In a re-analysis using fewer assumptions, Dr. DeRubeis found that his core result (less effect for healthier patients) now fell just shy of statistical significance."

The re-analyses employed different, not fewer, assumptions. We conducted them in response to questions raised by a Letter to the Editor of JAMA.

We clarified that those alternative ways of analyzing the data were not the most appropriate ones; we had already published on those in the JAMA paper, which had undergone the most thorough scrutiny of any paper I have been involved in.
The fact that the results fell just shy of statistical significance, as we stated in the published response presumably referenced by Dr. Kramer, was unsurprising given that the reanalyses were conducted with methods that are inferior to those we used for the primary analysis.

In any event, Dr. Kramer then chose not to disclose that these less appropriate methods yielded results that, if anything, pointed to an even more striking difference in the specific drug effect. (They are complicated, one consequence of their having been obtained with less appropriate methods than our primary analyses; see p. 1599 of JAMA, April 28, 2010; volume 303, N. 16).

"In fact, (with) antidepressants...in the depressed, the decrease in what is called neuroticism seems to protect against further episodes."

The finding Dr. Kramer cites here was published in the December 2009 issue of the Archives of General Psychiatry by my group. Had he acknowledged the provenance of the work, it would have made it very difficult for him to include, a few paragraphs later, this unfortunate
assertion:

"...the much heralded overview analyses look to be editorials with numbers attached."

It would strain the readers' credulity that a scientist who aimed to publish an editorial (with numbers) that raised questions about the limitations of antidepressant medications would, one month prior, publish on data that are so favorable to antidepressant therapy that Dr.
Kramer would include that study among his examples of the drugs'
benefits. The readers were kept from the information about the authorship of the work, which set up the accusation that we had written an editorial, not a work of clinical science that met the highest standards.

"The intent, presumably to right the balance between psychotherapy and medication in the treatment of mild depression..."

Dr. Kramer's presumption is wrong. As he knows, we emphasized in the JAMA article, as well as in all of the media write-ups that included interviews with me, that it is out of concern for our ignorance of the effectiveness of these medicines in the vast majority of depressed patients that I embarked on this research. My co-author, psychologist Steven Hollon, has since published findings of a similar sort in regard to psychotherapies: namely, that they fail to show much greater benefit than control procedures for patients with milder forms of depression, yet they do show a substantial advantage among the more severely depressed.

"Overall, the medications looked best for very severe depression, and had only slight benefits for mild depression..."

This is correct.

...but this study, looking at weak treatments and intentionally maximized placebo effects, could not quite meet the scientific standard for a firm conclusion."

This is wrong in every way. We did not look at weak treatments. We did not use a method that maximizes placebo effects. We did meet the scientific standard for a firm conclusion.


Robert J. DeRubeis
Samuel H. Preston Term Professor in the Social Sciences Professor and Chair, Department of Psychology School of Arts and Sciences, University of Pennsylvania

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